I remember when they came up with Osama as the key suspect. Which is fair enough too but gets no regimes off the hook.
In any case I thought to myself…. You dumb bastard. Why didn’t you wait for twenty years? Then you could have taken the Americans down in their entirety. A few nukes and hidden cells coming out and machine gunning people all over the states would overwhelm them. Osama you dope. You could have set up Muhhomad and Malvo-like converted cars all over the states and be sniping people for years.
So why didn’t they wait? Well I guess that comes down to the priorities of the regimes involved.
But why few attempts at attacks now? Its like they are not trying?
Well the answer may be what I was thinking before. Why not build things up within the United States and wait? Thats what I’d do if I was an evil regime planning to bring the America down.
Supposing that these people are smart people. Why rush into it if you are going to be more successful by building and waiting?
When you are at war with people the safest thing to assume is that they are in fact smart. In wartime its alright for the enemy to be smarter then you are. In wartime the enemy is LIKELY to be smarter then you. Its alright for the enemy to be smarter then you or their allies. It is NOT alright for the enemy to be winning.
Consider now that the Americans have gotten Iran surrounded, could finish the Syrian government in a single week. And if they were willing to cut non-defense spending could probably use air and proxy war to finish all these governments in less then six months.
So the last thing these regimes want right now is some 9/11 sized attack in the United States.
In Iraq it is of course the simplist thing in the world to murder Iraqi civilians. Too easy. So as long as that is the case then silently infiltrating America on the one hand and murdering Iraqis on the other would seem to be the ideal policy.
Every so often the Americans would beat back the various terrorist networks within Iraq. And thats when you would seem to see a big attack in Israel or Europe or elsewhere. Since you would expect it to take quite a few months to re-establish the killing networks without making it too obvious that this is what you were doing.
But to my mind thats just not going to happen anymore. The whole killing thing has gained too much momentum this time around. It looked to me like they’d beaten the networks back maybe three times. Of course the left would always say things were going terribly even when things were going well. However if you will not stop the regimes rebuilding their networks clearly it will only be a few months before the killing will get out of control again.
So now the strategy, if I were the enemy regime, would be to continue killing in Iraq. And infilitrate more and more into the United States WITHOUT CARRYING OUT A SUCCESSFUL ATTACK.
And what we ought to do now is try to look around and see if there is evidence that this is in fact their strategy.
Its the right strategy.
And its simply moronic to rule out the possibility that the enemy is pursuing the right strategy. The strategy that would have them win.