A bit of a lazy thread taken from elsewhere. But its important not to let the comments section get too long. Also this is a very important matter. Any mainstream theory that has been around awhile and not buttressed by convergent evidence has to be presumed to be wrong. We need to take the convergent evidence blow-torch to every sacred cow there is.
A philosophical point. There is a myth going around that you cannot have scientific certainty. The example given to me was of all these white swans. And everyone thinking that all Swans were white, but being proven wrong when the Europeans got to Australia and found black Swans.
But the proposition that all Swans are white is an example of one-step induction. And not an example of a theory proven by convergent evidence. A theory proven by convergent evidence is not going to get unproven.
I’ve not seen a theory properly proven by way of convergent evidence ever get unproven. The Big Bang has been debunked but it was never a good theory and relied on red shift alone. That is to say no lines of convergence. Neals theory is as good as it gets. More lines of convergence than anything out there not considered prosaic knowledge. Thus it ought to be the centre-piece and driving force behind new research. But we have to cut off the funds and sack everyone to get there.
Take the global warming fraud. Strip away all the rigged data and proof-by-nitpicking-opponents …… and all you have is a single inductive inference:
A question of infra-red absorption/scattering writ large upon the planet entire. Thats all they had. And it turned out to be wrong. Most one-step inductive inferences turn out to be wrong actually. As any creative researcher who gets five new ideas before breakfast knows. But no theories proven by many lines of convergent evidence are ever debunked.
Now it appears that I’m the first person to point out that rightful certainty comes from convergent evidence. Not from deductive exactitude, or from consensus, or from anything else. But from convergent evidence only.
But all of you have always known this really. I mean everyone realizes this in their personal life. Thats why evolution gave us five middling senses and not one terrific one. Everyone knows this on some level and all the good scientists act like they have always known this.